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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1sange772
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)59% (27–19, n=46)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$14.9M$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #772
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)71% (5 of 7 open)60% (18 of 30 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%96% of 25 at avg 64¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)28% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)24% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)44% (won 100% of 11)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1sange772
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
—Alafia Ayeni $234Edward Winter $6.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $37KJanice Tjen $58K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Liam Broady
—Liam Broady $2.6KLiam Broady $619—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—