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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026IlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)100% (12–0, n=12)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$20K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #939PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)47% (7 of 15 open)no open consensus position60% (18 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Esports ±0 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—90% of 10 at avg 90¢, ROI +5%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—0%22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—0%35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—100% (won 90% of 10)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026IlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Over $1.7K
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $777—Under $29
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Claire Liu $1.9K—Claire Liu $4.0K
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21—Under $2.4K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $159—Falcons $1.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $434—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360