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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)70% (260–109, n=369)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.4M$1.4M$71K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #217
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)60% (6 of 10 open)68% (93 of 136 open)83% (33 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12Crypto ±0 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%77% of 359 at avg 74¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)11% (won 22% of 41)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)10% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)8% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)70% (won 91% of 251)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpThanksGivingTurkey1001
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $15KAdrian Andreev $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591—
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
—Lorenzo Carboni $26Lorenzo Carboni $1.1K—