← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | googleplay | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | no settled market | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $822K | — | $430K | $152K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (9 of 17 open) | 58% (98 of 169 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 25% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 44% (won 100% of 21) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% | 29% (won 100% of 14) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | googleplay | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8 | Bulls $113K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $10K | Nuggets $57 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Nets $260K | Nets $597 | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $166K | Spurs $131 | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $2.0K | Lakers $43 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $831 | Nets $5 | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $279 | Grizzlies $38 | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | Grizzlies $4 | — | — |