← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | gmpm2 | jesterthegoose | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 17% (155–754, n=909) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $536K | $255K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #17 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (30 of 38 open) | 74% (316 of 429 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | NBA −17 pts, n=33 | Crypto −4 pts, n=44 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 80% of 620 at avg 80¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 4% (won 32% of 22) | 14% (won 8% of 84) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 31% (won 45% of 163) | 5% (won 40% of 30) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 46% (won 57% of 244) | 5% (won 67% of 33) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 19% (won 85% of 98) | 76% (won 97% of 473) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.