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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | dip. | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (23–20, n=43) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (233–198, n=431) |
| Consensus PnL | $543K | $6 | $430K | $261K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (8 of 17 open) | 88% (14 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (105 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | dip. | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $348K | — | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $7.4K | — | — | Nuggets $26K |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $22K | — | — | Thunder $5.9K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $664 | — | — | Nuggets $5.4K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $530 | — | — | Thunder $5.4K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $111 | — | — | Thunder $4.6K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $3 | — | — | Nuggets $63 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $960 | — | — | Nets $6.3K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $13 | — | — | Grizzlies $45 |