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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | devonpoll | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | no settled market | 54% (208–178, n=386) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $822K | — | $230K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (7 of 16 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 69% (119 of 172 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | devonpoll | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $260K | — | Pelicans $3.9K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $90K | — | Nuggets $5.1K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $10K | — | Nuggets $22K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $673 | — | Thunder $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nuggets $37 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $166K | — | Spurs $9.3K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $831 | — | Nets $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $279 | — | Grizzlies $764 | — |