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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (5–3, n=8) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $72K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #399 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 58% (67 of 116 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $48K | Yes $83K | — |