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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (13863–15370, n=29233) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $67K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #399 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (29 of 34 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (14 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 0% | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $87K | Yes $82K | — | — |