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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $71K | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #395 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 71% (171 of 242 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 29% (won 11% of 403) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 0% | 16% (won 38% of 228) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 15% (won 62% of 214) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 40% (won 94% of 553) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $39K | Yes $84K | — |