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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 52% (6399–5911, n=12310) | 65% (896–472, n=1368) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $67K | $3.3M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #392 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #100 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (15 of 28 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 77% (151 of 197 open) | 76% (31 of 41 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 0% | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $170K | Yes $81K | — | — |