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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 43% (11774–15353, n=27127) | 55% (13343–10705, n=24048) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $69K | -$9.5M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #413 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 67% (82 of 122 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 83% of 6 at avg 73¢, ROI +16% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 17% (won 0% of 1) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 0% | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 0% | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $35K | Yes $84K | — | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Vladyslav Orlov vs Lorenzo Angelini opposite sides · consensus Vladyslav Orlov | — | — | Vladyslav Orlov $4 | Lorenzo Angelini $4.4K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $141 | Yes $2.8K |
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | — | Adrian Andreev $12K | Adrian Andreev $4.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K |