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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)57% (1099–828, n=1927)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15546–15642, n=31188)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$84K$5.3M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #764PM monthly #3PM monthly #148
Sides with the consensus78% (28 of 36 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (65 of 116 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 12% of 428)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)10% (won 38% of 156)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)14% (won 75% of 215)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 692)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankclaudionetotraderjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.2K——Under $410
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K——Yes $167
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K——Ravens $18
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K——Ravens $13
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K——Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $223
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K——Yes $71
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K——Yes $59
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $815——Warriors $24
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28——Yes $41