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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | buoys | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 48% (882–961, n=1843) | 43% (11777–15355, n=27132) | 48% (19707–21460, n=41167) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $99K | -$9.5M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #975 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 65% (110 of 170 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 57% (16 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Science −12 pts, n=19 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | buoys | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Over $2.2K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | Yes $8.4K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | Yes $15 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.3K | Over $360 |