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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) | 93% (107–8, n=115) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $14.8M | $117K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #559 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 52% (16 of 31 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 112 at avg 94¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 99% (won 98% of 111) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $2.6K | Warriors $380 | — |