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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Pondermint | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 67% (423–206, n=629) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $173K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #392 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 59% (61 of 104 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −2 pts, n=87 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 11% of 63) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 11% (won 35% of 52) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 12% (won 63% of 56) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 65% (won 90% of 314) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Pondermint | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | Yes $2.4K | — |