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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Pondermint | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 67% (426–206, n=632) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $172K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #395 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 40% (4 of 10 open) | 63% (37 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | MLB −2 pts, n=89 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 492 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 11% of 65) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 36% of 53) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 12% (won 61% of 57) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 64% (won 90% of 317) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Pondermint | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | — | Yes $2.4K | — |