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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankNagastaBagambiRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)45% (22–27, n=49)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$22K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #890PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)no open consensus position61% (129 of 210 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%96% of 24 at avg 35¢, ROI +65%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)38% (won 100% of 9)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)54% (won 92% of 13)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)8% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)0%33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankNagastaBagambiRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29K—Pelicans $136
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17K—Pelicans $130
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $283—Pelicans $154
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $343—Grizzlies $118