← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 98% (12033–295, n=12328) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (20851–20547, n=41398) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $639K | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #264 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (26 of 33 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 68% (60 of 88 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −6 pts, n=15 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 96% of 11549 at avg 96¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 2% (won 18% of 235) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 2% (won 48% of 223) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 2% (won 56% of 177) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 95% (won 99% of 10914) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Malfunction. | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $824 | Dplus KIA $226 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |