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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Kaczka | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 52% (417–384, n=801) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $16K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 20% (1 of 5 open) | 59% (120 of 204 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 85% of 531 at avg 56¢, ROI +23% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 5% (won 68% of 25) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 73% of 117) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 62% (won 89% of 329) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 11% (won 92% of 60) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Kaczka | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $777 | — | — |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $659 | No $2.9K | — |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona | — | FC Barcelona $100 | Aston Villa FC $659 | — |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $99 | Under $349 | — |