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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | J-E-R | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 50% (20607–20392, n=40999) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $28K | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 86% (61 of 71 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 71% (32 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | J-E-R | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | Yes $2.3K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | No $22 | — | — |