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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 76% (28–9, n=37) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $190K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #411 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (19 of 30 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 83% of 36 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 42% (won 67% of 15) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 33% (won 92% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 14% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 11% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator |
|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | Yes $5.2K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | Yes $129K |