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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 76% (28–9, n=37) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $190K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #365 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $182K | Yes $5.5K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | Yes $138K | — |