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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3351, n=7824) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 76% (28–9, n=37) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $190K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #433 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 83% of 36 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 42% (won 67% of 15) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 33% (won 92% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 14% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 11% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $482K | Yes $4.9K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | No $15K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $19K | Yes $133K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $342 | Yes $16K | — |