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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Gdub | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 72% (621–238, n=859) | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) | 50% (20610–20397, n=41007) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $13K | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Politics ±0 pts, n=150 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 75% of 832 at avg 72¢, ROI +1% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 15% (won 11% of 123) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 7% (won 41% of 61) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 9% (won 68% of 73) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 69% (won 93% of 575) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Gdub | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $37K | Yes $7.4K | — | — |