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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmshaillakhani
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)90% (337–38, n=375)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$3.6M-$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)68% (244 of 359 open)71% (12 of 17 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +43 pts n=315, ROI +42%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=17, ROI +48%
  • NBA +50 pts n=10, ROI +51%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%81% of 365 at avg 37¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)25% (won 69% of 90)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)59% (won 82% of 217)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)16% (won 95% of 58)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmshaillakhani
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $4.9K—