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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmShady-Tool
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)85% (335–58, n=393)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$3.6M-$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #49PM monthly #423
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (191 of 275 open)75% (3 of 4 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Soccer −17 pts, n=18
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%86% of 404 at avg 85¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)4% (won 22% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 421)7% (won 56% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 508)4% (won 53% of 15)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)85% (won 93% of 344)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.