Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpojgprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)no settled market50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M—$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #998PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)71% (294 of 414 open)67% (2 of 3 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)—41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)—49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpojgprimm
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Mika Brunold $7.5KBorna Gojo $613—