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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | notfairplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 52% (6543–6108, n=12651) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 19% (109–452, n=561) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $4.8M | -$3.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #97 | was PM monthly #752 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (174 of 252 open) | 73% (59 of 81 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −6 pts, n=545 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 19% of 545 at avg 25¢, ROI −9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 68% (won 7% of 371) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 33% of 112) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 9% (won 55% of 51) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 2% (won 91% of 11) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | notfairplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | Under $30K | — |