Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorplottajizz
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6475–6058, n=12533)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M—
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus84% (27 of 32 open)71% (227 of 319 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 2 at avg 28¢, ROI +72%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)100% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorplottajizz
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $450Bucks $97—
Raptors vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $510KRaptors $13K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $167Timberwolves $2.2K—
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Lakers $408Lakers $1.3K—
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $122Raptors $1.3K—