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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | locuspm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6491–6080, n=12571) | 17% (612–2921, n=3533) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | -$1.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #864 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 69% (246 of 358 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL ±0 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 87% (won 1% of 876) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 0% (won 40% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 1% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 11% (won 98% of 113) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | locuspm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $396 | Mavericks $15 | — |
| Raptors vs. Bucks same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $523K | Raptors $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | Grizzlies $511 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $214 | Raptors $63 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Timberwolves $199 | Timberwolves $70 | — |