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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677whosay
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)45% (10–12, n=22)58% (1104–784, n=1888)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$5.3M-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #681
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)73% (208 of 286 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +3 pts n=287, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=63, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Tennis −4 pts, n=686
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%58% of 2028 at avg 60¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)11% (won 16% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)26% (won 36% of 531)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)28% (won 58% of 565)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 88% of 704)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677whosay
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $225—Yes $789
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $338—Yes $262
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $222—Yes $162