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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (266–304, n=570)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$5.3M-$145K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #20
Sides with the consensus78% (25 of 32 open)74% (113 of 153 open)no open consensus position57% (13 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $80K——Jaguars $31K
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $145—Yes $14
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $115K——Ravens $13
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $28K—SE Palmeiras $1.7K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $78——Over $13K
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Heat $125
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4—Under $66