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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpfurialetsgoVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (58–47, n=105)71% (2823–1176, n=3999)100% (1–0, n=1)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$381K$529K$28K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #8PM monthly #929PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)52% (119 of 231 open)no open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
not computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 531)—13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 315)—40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)11% (won 61% of 150)—33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 320)—13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpfurialetsgoVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $165—Chiefs $6.4K
Patriots vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $443K——Lions $19K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303—Vikings $6.2K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $16—Cowboys $283