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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 47% (266–304, n=570) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | -$139K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #104 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (25 of 30 open) | 80% (227 of 285 open) | 60% (12 of 20 open) | 72% (69 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $145 | Yes $14 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | — | No $335K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $62K | — | Ravens $12 | — |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympique de Marseille | — | Olympique de Marseille $8.9K | Olympique de Marseille $27K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $440 | Heat $95 | — |