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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJabJabichjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)61% (176–114, n=290)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$107K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #256PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)71% (276 of 390 open)55% (11 of 20 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%86% of 201 at avg 59¢, ROI +13%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 64% of 14)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)18% (won 81% of 36)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 85% of 98)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)26% (won 96% of 53)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJabJabichjoseph00677
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $162Yes $6.2K—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $319Yes $4.6K—
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
same side · consensus KUUSAMO.gg
—maybe $47maybe $3.0K—