← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | FakePolls | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 62% (240–148, n=388) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14379–15895, n=30274) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $199K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #204 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 79% (11 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 39% (11 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 87% of 281 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 48% of 27) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 55% (won 98% of 154) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | FakePolls | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $32K | Yes $9.0K | — | — |