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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankExoticApple12ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)49% (1211–1238, n=2449)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$172K-$9.4M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #398was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)50% (1 of 2 open)75% (6 of 8 open)70% (94 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +49 pts n=278, ROI +49%
  • NHL +47 pts n=148, ROI +44%
  • Soccer +45 pts n=281, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%98% of 1244 at avg 52¢, ROI +44%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)3% (won 93% of 42)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)35% (won 98% of 431)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)55% (won 98% of 684)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)7% (won 100% of 87)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankExoticApple12ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $148Yes $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
——Adrian Andreev $8.8KAdrian Andreev $1.4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
——Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591