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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCornerGamingprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)35% (6–11, n=17)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M-$34K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #611PM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position75% (12 of 16 open)60% (128 of 214 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI +45%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)25% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)75% (won 100% of 3)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)0%5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCornerGamingprimmRN1
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.8KUMass $358
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.9KUnder $3
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $1.9KUMass $118
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $996Sacramento State $524
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $277Sacramento State $466
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.4KOver $116
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
——Ball State $22Ball State $1.0K
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66——Hawks $128