Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCharityStripeFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)77% (279–82, n=361)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$7.6M-$37K$3.7M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #943PM monthly #13PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)100% (1 of 1 open)70% (169 of 240 open)71% (12 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NFL +39 pts n=80, ROI +41%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=57, ROI +26%
  • NBA +31 pts n=105, ROI +20%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%85% of 354 at avg 53¢, ROI +27%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)2% (won 38% of 8)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)29% (won 76% of 104)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)61% (won 90% of 217)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)7% (won 92% of 25)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCharityStripeFlaznorpprimm
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
——Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $4.9K