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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bignumfantasy7788FlaznorpVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)33% (9–18, n=27)55% (22–18, n=40)71% (2825–1180, n=4005)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL-$4.6K$883K$529K$475K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953PM monthly #18PM monthly #8PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position58% (153 of 266 open)44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=204—
Settled positions, side won67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15%100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 50% of 6)5% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 531)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 67% of 6)59% (won 100% of 13)24% (won 38% of 315)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 100% of 2)32% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 61% of 150)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 320)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBignumfantasy7788FlaznorpVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $165Chiefs $6.3K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $303Vikings $6.5K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $15Cowboys $275