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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 55% (58–47, n=105) | 55% (22–18, n=40) | 53% (529–468, n=997) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $381K | $883K | $639K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (26 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 12% (won 44% of 90) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 59% (won 100% of 13) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 32% (won 100% of 7) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $25K | — | Lions $3 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $4.4K | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $1.8K | — | Panthers $238 |