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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 55% (58–47, n=105) | 55% (22–18, n=40) | 47% (671–742, n=1413) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $381K | $883K | $890K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (46 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 59% (won 100% of 13) | 34% (won 100% of 159) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 32% (won 100% of 7) | 52% (won 100% of 243) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 9% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $727K | — | Patriots $30K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $221K | — | Falcons $15K |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $115K | — | Packers $15K |
| Spread: Lions (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $71K | — | Patriots $35K |