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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BenSnyderndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #868PM monthly #92PM monthly #67PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (108 of 150 open)50% (3 of 6 open)66% (21 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBenSnyderndb1primmRN1
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
——West Virginia $953Texas Tech $830
Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
——West Virginia $138Texas Tech $317
Wyoming vs. UNLV
same side · consensus Wyoming
——Wyoming $33KWyoming $19K
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
——Texas State $19KTexas State $9.6K