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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Baddie | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (285–559, n=844) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #899 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (70 of 116 open) | 71% (55 of 78 open) | 54% (40 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Golf ±0 pts, n=88 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 658 at avg 2¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 3% of 654) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 2) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Baddie | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $93 | No $83K | — |