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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BaddieBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)34% (284–559, n=843)45% (583–722, n=1305)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14365–15875, n=30240)
Consensus PnL$14K$7.3M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #866PM monthly #3PM monthly #97PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (56 of 82 open)88% (22 of 25 open)72% (59 of 82 open)52% (15 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicGolf ±0 pts, n=88—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won3% of 658 at avg 2¢, ROI +1%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢99% (won 3% of 654)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 0% of 2)35% (won 98% of 206)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 100% of 204)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBaddieBreakTheBankndb1RN1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $256—No $82K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $37No $15K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9No $12K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $25K——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $179Yes $3.5K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9Yes $2.5K——
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $70—Yes $2.3K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $1.0K——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3Yes $80——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $47Yes $28——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $27——