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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (285–558, n=843) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | $7.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (71 of 117 open) | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 72% (55 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Golf ±0 pts, n=88 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 658 at avg 2¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 3% of 654) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 2) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.