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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (284–559, n=843) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $14K | $7.3M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #866 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (56 of 81 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (59 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Golf ±0 pts, n=88 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 658 at avg 2¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 3% of 654) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 2) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.