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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (20–44, n=64) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) |
| Consensus PnL | $33K | $9.4M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #545 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (24 of 34 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 25% of 53 at avg 19¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 83% (won 14% of 44) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 75% of 8) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $77K | No $88K | — |