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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (20–44, n=64) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $51K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #550 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 83% (24 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (91 of 143 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 25% of 53 at avg 19¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 83% (won 14% of 44) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 75% of 8) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $65K | No $63K | — | — |